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	<title>Mets &#187; Andres Gimenez</title>
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		<title>The 2018 Mets Minor League Awards</title>
		<link>http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2018/09/19/the-2018-mets-minor-league-awards/</link>
		<comments>http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2018/09/19/the-2018-mets-minor-league-awards/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Sep 2018 10:00:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Alex Rosen]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mets Minors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andres Gimenez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[David Peterson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Desmond Lindsay]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Drew Smith]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Franklyn Kilome]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gavin Cecchini]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jeff McNeil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Justin Dunn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kevin Smith]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Luis Guillorme]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Vientos]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nabil Crismatt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Alonso]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ross Adolph]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Thomas Szabucki]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tim Tebow]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=8269</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[MVP: Peter Alonso Tyler Oringer: Well, this one is obvious. If you’ve been following any of my coverage throughout the season, you know how much I love the future first baseman for the Mets. The fact that the 23-year old was not called up this season in order to manipulate service time for his age [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><b>MVP: Peter Alonso</b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">Tyler Oringer: Well, this one is obvious. If you’ve been following any of my coverage throughout the season, you know how much I love the future first baseman for the Mets. The fact that the 23-year old was not called up this season in order to manipulate service time for his age 31 season is beyond belief &#8211; but hey, let&#8217;s stick to the good part.  Alonso finished his 2019 minor league campaign (65 games at Double-A, 67 in Triple-A) with 36 home runs, 119 RBIs and a triple slash of .285/.395/.579. The changes to his swing from 2017 were real, and allowed him to drive the ball to more fields with major league power, while also advancing his plate discipline to another level. The former Gator saw his OBP jump from .355 to the aforementioned .395.  Alonso finished a full minor league season between Double-A and Triple-A at 23 years old with an OPS of .975. Yes, his defense is not good, but the bat makes him the clear MVP of the Mets’ system in 2018.</span></p>
<p><b>Breakout prospect of the year: Jeff McNeil</b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">Alex Rosen: Jeffrey, Jarrett and I were all on McNeil as a future major league contributor </span><i><span style="font-weight: 400">before</span></i><span style="font-weight: 400"> July (and as early as 2014 in Jeffrey’s case) but we’d all be lying if we said we saw </span><i><span style="font-weight: 400">this </span></i><span style="font-weight: 400">coming. Injuries limited him to just 21 games above A-ball in 2016 and 2017 but McNeil rode a vastly improved frame and a new stomp and pull approach all the way to Queens before the end of July. He’s been the Mets&#8217; best position player since the day he arrived in Flushing &#8211; not to mention one of the best players across all of baseball &#8211; and gives the organization another cost-controlled above-average regular to build around.</span></p>
<p><b>“Cy Young”: </b><b><i>Um… </i></b><b>Justin Dunn and David Peterson…</b><b><i> I guess</i></b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">TO: </span><i><span style="font-weight: 400">DISCLAIMER:</span></i><span style="font-weight: 400"> I don’t feel comfortable giving either of these guys a Cy Young vote here, but the Mets didn’t really have any impressive season showings from any of their developing starting arms. Dunn, a 2016 first round pick out of Boston College, was okay this season but did improve greatly from 2017. He did struggle a bit in Double-A but flashed some of the potential the Mets have seen, striking out 156 batters in 135.1 innings. Control has continued to be an issue for the 22-year-old, but next season should be a massive stepping stone in his development. I’ve always felt his relief potential was immense and he could be extremely valuable there, but it would be quite the stretch to move him to the bullpen any time soon. Like Dunn, Peterson was good, not great. The 2017 first rounder dominated full-season A-ball, but was knocked around by Advanced-A hitting, surrendering 74 hits in 68.2 innings pitched. The southpaw already has the control and movement to be a legitimate prospect, he just needs to serve up fewer hittable pitches as he goes on.</span></p>
<p><b>Platinum Glove: Luis Guillorme</b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">TO: A favorite of mine who was handled as poorly as he could have been in 2018.  Regardless, Guillorme is already an elite defender. If given the chance to start at shortstop or second base in a full major league season, the 23-year-old would challenge for a Gold Glove.  Guillorme flashes some of the smoothest actions and fluidness that any middle infielder in the minors has shown over the past few years. There is a lot to love about Guillorme, if the Mets could just figure out a way to best utilize his talents.</span></p>
<p><b>Comeback prospect of the year: Justin Dunn</b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">AR: Dunn’s full-season debut couldn’t have gone much worse, but he rebounded nicely and took care of business in 2018, tossing about 90 innings in Binghamton en route to winning the organizations minor league pitcher of the year award. It was more of “meh” season by top pitching prospect standards, but even that was markedly better than Dunn’s 2017 in the Florida State League. There’s still a ton of room for improvement, especially with the change-up, but 2018 was without a doubt a step in the right direction. The stuff came back, the command improved and Dunn’s now one step closer to the big leagues. </span></p>
<p><b>Most likely to have their service time manipulated: </b><del><b>Peter Alonso</b></del><b> Andres Gimenez</b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">AR: Oh, this is for the future? (looks at personal pref list…) Andres Gimenez it is! Until the rules change in the next CBA, teams are going to hold down top prospects to gain that extra year of control. It’s going to happen to Gimenez too, unless the Mets find themselves in a pennant race in 2019 with a hole to fill. Nevertheless, Gimenez had a tremendous 2018 season across Port St. Lucie and Binghamton, solidifying himself as one of the best prospects in the game.</span></p>
<p><b>The Ty Kelly Memorial Roster Spot: Gavin Cecchini</b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">AR: Cecchini was off to a solid start in Las Vegas before a foot injury sidelined him for the rest of the season. He’s seemingly been around for forever, though he somehow won’t turn 25 ‘till December, but his spot on the 40-man is hanging by a thread. The former first rounder has never really received an extended stay with the big league club, but seems like a prime candidate to hang around as organizational depth for a number of years.</span></p>
<p><b>Best early return from the 2018 draft: Ross Adolph</b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">TO: Adolph was drafted in the 12th round of the 2018 First Year Player Draft, but has already shown his value in his first year in Brooklyn. In my live look at Adolph, he did not get any hits or even take good routes to the ball in the field, but the athletically built outfielder owned a noticeably advanced approach at the plate and looked the part. The Toledo alum put up some nice number with the Cyclones, OPSing .857 with 14 stolen bases and an affinity for chasing down balls in the outfield.</span></p>
<p><b>Most likely to receive the Dominic Smith treatment: Mark Vientos </b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">AR: Vientos still has a long ways to go before he’s a viable major league contributor, but he’s an early round pick who might find playing time hard to come by at the big league level. Amed Rosario and Andres Gimenez look to be franchise cornerstones in the infield and Jeff McNeil’s not going anywhere anytime soon, leaving Vientos without a future home on the dirt as of now. Of course, these things tend to sort themselves out, but it hasn’t with Smith at the big league level for one reason or another. A similar fate could be awaiting Vientos, though we’re at least a couple of years away from having to even entertain the possibility.</span></p>
<p><b>Most likely to pitch too many high leverage innings: Kevin Smith </b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">AR: The Mets went reliever heavy on Day Two of the 2018 MLB Draft, using a seventh rounder to grab Smith, a crafty SEC lefty with starting experience. There’s likely some internal hope that Smith can start, but having seen him this summer, I can tell you with confidence that that ain’t happening. He’s a future LOOGY in the Jerry Blevins/Daniel Zamora mold who’ll probably be overused like Blevins was in 2017. To be clear, a major league LOOGY is a fine outcome here, but the Mets have an affinity for Smith that I just personally don’t see.</span></p>
<p><b>The Reliever of the Carousel of Relievers Who Is Legit:  Drew Smith</b></p>
<p>TO: Bad timing &#8211; I know.  Anyway, Smith possesses true back-end relief talent which has come through in his every stop in the minors and more recently, the majors. I wrote about Smith back in Week 7 of the Prospect Watch, and stand by those previous comments.  Smith’s fastball and slider combination poses the potential for some elite late-inning stuff which has already come to fruition in 2018. When Sandy Alderson traded a fading Lucas Duda for a relief arm, people were concerned, but it would not be crazy to me if Smith is closing with success for New York in the near future.</p>
<p><b>Biggest Disappointment: Desmond Lindsay</b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">TO: When Lindsay was drafted in the second round of the 2015 draft, big things were expected. The centerfielder looked to have the tools, body, and pedigree to turn into a major league regular, but things have just not transpired that way. Lindsay is still stuck in Advanced-A ball, and has not shown any reason to get out of it. The right-handed hitting high school pick has OPSed .715 and .640 in consecutive seasons &#8211; and unless he makes the necessary adjustments to his approach, his athleticism may end up going to waste. Injuries have hampered the 21-year old throughout his short career, so there is still a bit of hope &#8211; but change must come fast.</span></p>
<p><b>Happiest Met to head to Syracuse: Nabil Crismatt</b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">AR: If Crismatt pitched the entire season in Binghamton, he’d have been my choice for the Cy Young award. Unfortunately, we can’t erase those nine starts in Las Vegas and Crismatt will instead have to settle for the “Happiest Met to head to Syracuse” designation. His strong season in Double-A proved there’s a future major league contributor here, but the disaster in the desert muddied things. The Mets will need to protect Crismatt from the Rule-5 draft this offseason by adding him to the 40-man roster, which currently seems like a toss-up at best. He should absolutely be protected, but this is the Mets and they’ll let him go to Oakland, where he’ll suddenly become a No.3 starter.</span></p>
<p><b>Best trade deadline acquisition: Franklyn Kilome </b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">TO: This is quite obvious, but not because the other acquisitions were bad &#8211; it’s because Kilome, the only player from the Asdrubal Cabrera deal with the Phillies, is that good. The 6’6,” 175-pound 23-year old, has shown to have an advanced upper-90s fastball along with an impressive curveball which has a swing-and-miss movement. In Double-A, Kilome struck out 125 batters in 140 innings, but did walk 61.  Kilome needs to work on his control, but the young right-hander does flash the stuff to succeed as a major league starter &#8211; and should see time on the big league club at some point next year.</span></p>
<p><b>Most excited to see in 2019: Thomas Szapucki</b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">AR: Szapucki missed the entire season while recovering from Tommy John surgery, but is set to return to the mound in 2019. He’s only thrown a total of 83.1 innings in his brief career and will turn 23 next June, but Szapucki has undeniable upside that enticed virtually everyone who saw him. He flashed three potential plus offerings from a tough slot prior to the injury, giving him top of the rotation upside if he could simply stay healthy. There’s no question he’s behind the developmental curve, but 2019 could be a make or break season for the left-hander.</span></p>
<p><b>Tim Tebow Award: Tim Tebow</b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">TO: Sorry, I just had to.</span></p>
<p><em>Photo credit: Brad Penner &#8211; USA Today Sports</em></p>
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		<title>Prospect Watch &#8211; Week 13</title>
		<link>http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2018/07/27/prospect-watch-week-13/</link>
		<comments>http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2018/07/27/prospect-watch-week-13/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Jul 2018 10:00:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Alex Rosen]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mets Minors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andres Gimenez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Luis Guillorme]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Luis Santana]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ronny Mauricio]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ross Adolph]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stephen Villines]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=7755</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Welcome back to the Baseball Prospectus Mets Prospect Watch! This weekly column will take a look at one pitcher and one hitter from each level of the Mets organization and offer thoughts on their performance thus far, as well as a brief scouting report with a future outlook. Las Vegas 51s (Triple-A) Hitter: Luis Guillorme [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Welcome back to the Baseball Prospectus Mets Prospect Watch! This weekly column will take a look at one pitcher and one hitter from each level of the Mets organization and offer thoughts on their performance thus far, as well as a brief scouting report with a future outlook.</em></p>
<h3><strong>Las Vegas 51s (Triple-A)</strong></h3>
<p><strong>Hitter: Luis Guillorme</strong></p>
<p>It seems like forever ago, but Guillorme was on the major league roster until June 25 before the Mets sent him back to Las Vegas. He struggled in his first taste of the big leagues (.457 OPS, 29 OPS+) but the inconsistent playing time surely didn’t help. Guillorme’s glove has been major league ready for a while now but the Mets&#8217; newfound fascination &#8212; or maybe it never went away &#8212; with Jose Reyes relegated him to a marginal role.</p>
<p>Guillorme’s never going to be mistaken for an offensive powerhouse, but he rarely strikes out and draws a fair number of walks. He’s hitting over .300 for the season in Vegas and is a far better hitter than his .172 average in the majors shows. There’s a valuable utility player here, and Guillorme should be on the 2019 Opening Day roster.</p>
<h3><strong>Binghamton Rumble Ponies (Double-A)</strong></h3>
<p><strong>Hitter: Andres Gimenez</strong></p>
<p>The Mets&#8217; top prospect earned a well-deserved promotion to Double-A Binghamton after a very respectable showing in the Florida State League. Gimenez won’t turn 20 until September and it now seems likely that he’ll begin 2019 with Binghamton. That timeline lines him up for a potential call-up in September 2019, just three years after coming stateside. While the presence of Amed Rosario likely forces Gimenez over to second, he still figures to be a valuable major league contributor sooner rather than later.</p>
<p>Gimenez can hold his own with the bat but the bulk of his value and prospect pedigree derives from the fact that he can stick at short. That’s a problem considering that Rosario was an even higher regarded prospect who’s already in the big leagues. Now, it’s a good problem of course, and one the Mets don’t need to worry about for at least another season. A good showing from Gimenez in Binghamton to end the season could accelerate his timeline slightly, but 2020 seems like the year he gets the call.</p>
<h3><strong>Port St. Lucie Mets (Advanced-A)</strong></h3>
<p><strong>Pitcher: Stephen Villines</strong></p>
<p>Villines took an interesting path to Kansas, but the Mets drafted him as a senior sign in the 10<span style="font-size: 13.3333px">th</span> round of the 2017 draft. The right-hander is a reliever only, but he put up good numbers in school and dominated on the Cape for two seasons.</p>
<p>Villines has plus control, especially for a reliever, but it’s his lack of stuff that dropped him to the 10<span style="font-size: 13.3333px">th</span> round. His fastball sits in the mid-to-upper 80s, far below average and especially so for a reliever. He also throws a slider in the low-to-mid 70s and a change that’s likely his best pitch.</p>
<p>While a college performer should dominate the lower levels of the minors, Villines put up video game numbers in Brooklyn and Columbia. He struck out 30 while walking just one in 19 innings for the Cyclones last season and continued that dominance for the Fireflies to begin this season. Villines was promoted to Port St. Lucie where he has continued to succeed, striking out 15 while walking four to go along with his 0.63 ERA in 14.1 innings.</p>
<p>While the stuff says Villines isn’t a major league caliber reliever, the early returns say otherwise. He could carve out a Brad Ziegler-type career, or he could never reach the majors. Only time will tell, but Villines needs to be challenged in Double-A before the end of the year.</p>
<h3><strong>Brooklyn Cyclones (Short-Season-A)</strong></h3>
<p><strong>Hitter: Ross Adolph</strong></p>
<p>While neither myself nor Jeffrey Paternostro were fans of the Mets&#8217; draft strategy, especially on days two and three, they may actually have something in Adolph. Jeff saw Brooklyn recently and liked Adolph a lot more than he expected to.</p>
<p>Adolph doesn’t have a plus tool, but he’s a sum of the parts player who has a chance to be a fourth outfielder when it’s all said and done. That’s exactly what you’re looking for in the 12<span style="font-size: 13.3333px">th </span>round, and the Mets seem to have done really well here. Adolph’s off to a really nice start in Brooklyn (.288/.367/.490), where he’ll likely spend the remainder of the season. There’s an opportunity for Adolph to move quickly here, as the Mets lack outfield depth in the upper minors.</p>
<h3><strong>Kingsport Mets (Rookie League)</strong></h3>
<p><strong>Hitter: Luis Santana </strong></p>
<p>The 19-year-old Santana is stateside and off to a blazing start after playing two seasons in the Dominican Summer League. In 31 games for Kingsport, Santana is hitting .364/.469/.471 with two home runs and a 13:20 K to BB ratio. That’s…really good for a teenager playing and living in a new country for the first time.</p>
<p>Santana is small (5’ 8” 175) but has surprising strength for his size. He’s likely always going to be a hit over power player, but he’s got the ability to do damage every now and then. Santana fits best at second, where he’s a solid defender with sure hands. The Mets have done really well internationally and Santana is no exception. He’s far away, but he’s a guy to keep an eye on for the future.</p>
<h3><strong>Gulf Coast Mets (Rookie League)</strong></h3>
<p><strong>Hitter: Ronny Mauricio</strong></p>
<p>Speaking of doing well internationally, Mauricio signed for over $2 million in 2017 and skipped the DSL entirely, beginning his career in the GCL. He just turned 17 this season and is hitting .333/.346/.540 in his first taste of professional baseball. You couldn’t ask for a better start to a career.</p>
<p>Mauricio is listed at 6’ 3,” 166 punds but has reportedly grown at least an inch since he signed. He’s currently a shortstop but likely moves over to third as he ascends the minor league ladder. The bat is what you’re buying here though, and Mauricio looks like a Top 10 prospect in the system already.</p>
<p><em>Photo credit: Brad Penner &#8211; USA Today Sports</em></p>
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		<title>Prospect Watch: Week Four</title>
		<link>http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2018/05/18/prospect-watch-week-four/</link>
		<comments>http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2018/05/18/prospect-watch-week-four/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 May 2018 10:05:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Alex Rosen]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mets Minors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andres Gimenez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andrew Church]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[David Peterson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dominic Smith]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tim Peterson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tim Tebow]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=6944</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Welcome back to the Baseball Prospectus Mets Prospect Watch! This weekly column will take a look at one pitcher and one hitter from each level of the Mets organization and offer thoughts on their performance thus far, as well as a brief scouting report with a future outlook. Las Vegas 51s (Triple-A) Pitcher: Tim Peterson [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Welcome back to the Baseball Prospectus Mets Prospect Watch! This weekly column will take a look at one pitcher and one hitter from each level of the Mets organization and offer thoughts on their performance thus far, as well as a brief scouting report with a future outlook.</em></p>
<h3>Las Vegas 51s (Triple-A)</h3>
<p><strong>Pitcher: Tim Peterson</strong></p>
<p>I haven’t seen him live and don’t have a recent report on him, but I can’t ignore Peterson’s performance in Las Vegas any longer. A 20<span style="font-size: 13.3333px">th</span> round pick in 2012, Peterson’s striking out almost 40% of batters to go with a pristine 2.91 ERA in 17 appearances this season. The fact he’s doing it in the hitter’s paradise that is Las Vegas makes it all the more impressive. This level of performance isn’t coming out of nowhere; he was really good for Binghamton last season too, with a strikeout rate above 26% and a 1.14 ERA. Combine that with a 5% walk rate and there may be something here. There is some inevitable drawback though. Peterson is 27 years old, isn’t on the 40-man and wasn’t selected in the Rule 5 draft. He only ran a 31.1% groundball rate in Double-A last season but he excels at keeping the ball in the park. I don’t know what the Mets have here and they clearly don’t either, but if a 40-man spot opens up I think Peterson could be worth a look. If he doesn’t get a chance with the Mets, some team is going to see the minor league numbers and give him a chance.</p>
<p><strong>Hitter: Dominic Smith</strong></p>
<p>I’ll refer you to the recent piece BP Mets writer Tyler Oringer and I <a href="http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2018/05/14/bp-mets-discussion-the-dom-smith-situation/" target="_blank">wrote on Smith</a>, but let’s talk a little more about what happened last week. With Jay Bruce heading to the paternity list for the weekend series against Philadelphia, the Mets had the bright idea to use the roster spot on Smith. It was a curious choice that became even more controversial when Smith took only one official plate appearance in the shortened series. Smith’s a former first rounder who made a couple of Top 100 lists, but his prospect shine wore off completely when he flopped in the majors last season. He’s now been passed by Peter Alonso as the first baseman of the future and there doesn’t seem to be a role for Smith at the major league level. Smith’s got a good glove at first but if the Mets didn’t plan to start him, wouldn’t Phillip Evans (whose since been called up) have made more sense?  I couldn’t tell you one good reason why Smith got the call, but I can tell you that he hasn’t been great in Vegas. Smith’s striking out in 23% of his plate appearances and has only two home runs in 119 at-bats. That’s a problem when you’re a 1B only prospect. It’s hard to decipher what the Mets plan to do with Smith at this point, but I wouldn’t put anything past this organization.</p>
<h3>Binghamton Rumble Ponies (Double-A)</h3>
<p><strong>Pitcher: Andrew Church</strong></p>
<p>Church is off to an interesting, if uninspiring, start to the 2018 season. On one hand, he’s been relatively healthy and has bumped his K/9 from 5.79 in Port St. Lucie last season to 7.68 with Binghamton thus far. Health and strikeout rate have been two of the biggest knocks on Church as a prospect, so it’s nice to see the improvement on both fronts. On the other hand, though, he’s been getting hit hard and his fastball has backed up a bit. I was in Binghamton Wednesday night to see Church for the third time this season and he was mired in the same inconsistencies that have plagued him all year. In four innings of work, Church was knocked around for eight hits and six earned, but he also struck out eight. Church has touched 95 in the past, but repeated arm injuries have taken a toll and I’ve had him in the 88-92 range, topping at 93, in all three of the starts I’ve seen. The fastball doesn’t have great movement and Church has really struggled to locate it in my past two looks, so much so that he’s pretty much abandoned it following the first inning. Instead, he’s been primarily working with an 82-84 mph slider that’s easily his best pitch at this point. He’s comfortable throwing it in any count, for strikes and whiffs, and it&#8217;s flashed average for me in all three looks. Church also has a changeup I haven’t seen much of and a curve that’s rarely thrown but shows signs of usefulness. The curve sits 74-78 mph with good depth but is mainly reserved for two-strike counts. I mentioned that Church has abandoned his fastball after the first inning in my two most recent looks, and he’s seen some really good results for the next couple of innings. The second and third times around the order are a problem though, as opposing hitters have gotten a good look at the slider and are just sitting on it. I don’t think there’s enough here for Church to cut it as a starter at the major league level, but he could be a guy who moves to the bullpen in a middle relief role and sees a needed velo bump.</p>
<p><strong>Hitter: Tim Tebow</strong></p>
<p>Love him or hate him, Tebow’s surpassed all expectations at Double-A, slashing .248/.323/.419 in almost 120 at-bats. I was as skeptical as everyone when this whole thing began, but I’ve been pleasantly surprised by what I’ve seen in my four looks this season. Now don’t get me wrong, we’re not talking about a future superstar here, or anything close for that matter, but take the name off the back of the jersey and Tebow looks and plays like your average Double-A outfielder. The problem here is Tebow’s already 30 years old and anything <em>but</em> your average minor league baseball player.</p>
<p>Tebow’s been swinging a hot bat recently, giving me hope for a better look than my previous ones, but I was left disappointed yet again. We’ll start at the plate, where he actually didn’t look as overmatched against good velo as he did earlier in the season. His first at-bat was a nine-pitch, six foul-ball battle against Beau Burrows that was easily the best AB I’ve seen from him all season. The swing looks better than it did even earlier this year and I’m more confident than before that he can catch up to major league fastballs. That’s the good news.</p>
<p>The bad news is he’s still kind of a mess in left field. He really struggles to track deep fly balls and to be honest, he kind of looks lost out there. His footwork isn’t good and he takes bad routes to balls that he should easily catch. For a former NFL QB, his arm leaves a <em>lot </em>to be desired. I know that’s primarily the reason he’s out of the NFL and in MLB, but one would think he’d get a little more zip on his throws in from the outfield. Back to the hitting side of things; Tebow still swings through fastballs up in the zone, something that’s going to get exposed by major league pitching <em><strong>when</strong></em> he reaches that level. The off-speed recognition still isn’t there either, but that’s something that should improve with more experience and it’s hard to knock a guy who was out of the game for 10 years.</p>
<p>There’s a real argument to be made that Tebow is one of the best outfield options in the high minors of this system. Now, that’s more of a reflection on the outfield depth in the system rather than his talent, but we’ve officially entered “this isn’t crazy” territory. He’s going to get a chance in the majors this year or next.</p>
<h3>Port St. Lucie Mets (High-A)</h3>
<p><strong>Hitter: Andres Gimenez</strong></p>
<p>The No. 1 prospect in the system, Gimenez is more than holding his own as a 19-year-old in High-A. Port St. Lucie was an aggressive assignment to begin the season, but Gimenez destroyed rookie ball and showed enough promise in Columbia last season that it didn’t feel forced. He doesn’t have a standout tool, but Gimenez projects as a major league shortstop with some skills at the dish. A left-handed hitter, he has good bat control and should grow into a plus hit tool eventually. There is some projection left, but not enough to project average game power, which may not be a problem considering Gimenez already hits a bunch of line drives. The line, .262/.331/.418, is actually really impressive for a 19-year-old in High-A, as are the 12 extra base hits. Gimenez is also an above-average runner and has nine stolen bases against two caught stealing’s. Out in the field, he has good actions at short and a strong enough arm that should allow him to stick there. Gimenez isn’t tooled up, but it’s an impressive package coupled with great results thus far. Gimenez should be a frequent member of the Prospect Watch for years to come.</p>
<h3>Columbia Fireflies (A)</h3>
<p><strong>Pitcher: David Peterson</strong></p>
<p>The Mets&#8217; first-round draft pick last season is off to a good, if not great, start with Columbia. Peterson’s a tall lefty out of Oregon with a chance for three above-average offerings. He stands 6’6” and looks intimidating out on the mound, but he’s not a power pitcher by any means. His fastball sits in the low 90s and touches 95, but Peterson gets great movement on it. There probably isn’t a whole ton of projection left on the fastball, but it’s already above average so that shouldn’t be a big problem. Peterson also throws a slider and a changeup that both flash above average. He throws the slider more often, but the changeup might be the better future offering, although it does need some more work. In 30.2 innings for Columbia this season, Peterson is only running a 20.5% strikeout rate, which isn’t all that promising for the first returns on a collegiate first rounder. He is running a terrific 64% groundball rate though, which is very encouraging. Currently the best pitching prospect in the system, Peterson is more of a No. 3 starter than someone with ace or even No. 2 potential. His value mainly derives from the fact that he should be able to climb the minor league ladder relatively quickly. If the changeup doesn’t develop, Peterson should still be able to carve out a role as a big league reliever. Like Gimenez, look for Peterson to make frequent appearances on the Prospect Watch in the coming years.</p>
<p><em>Photo credit: Scott Rovak &#8211; USA Today Sports</em></p>
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		<title>Ten Prospects We Want to See in 2017</title>
		<link>http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2017/02/23/ten-prospects-we-want-to-see-in-2017-jarrett-likes-tim-tebow-so-much/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Feb 2017 13:29:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jarrett Seidler]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mets Minors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andres Gimenez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andrew Church]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Desmond Lindsay]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Luis Carpio]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Luis Guillorme]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Marcos Molina]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nobody wants to see Dom Smith]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[remember Tebow was a choice!]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Thomas Szapucki]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tim Tebow]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tomas Nido]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tyler Bashlor]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=3127</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Over on the main site, the BP prospect team runs themed Monday Morning Ten Packs this time of year, picking 10 prospects who fulfill some criteria or another. Our BP Mets prospect team of Jeffrey, Skyler, and I decided to blatantly rip this off and write a “ten pack”-style article on the ten Mets prospects [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="font-weight: 400">Over on the main site, the BP prospect team runs themed Monday Morning Ten Packs this time of year, picking 10 prospects who fulfill some criteria or another. Our BP Mets prospect team of Jeffrey, Skyler, and I decided to blatantly rip this off and write a “ten pack”-style article on the ten Mets prospects we’re most looking forward to seeing in 2017. We ran the gauntlet from a guy who made the national </span><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=31160"><span style="font-weight: 400">101</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400"> to a guy that didn’t make our </span><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=30699"><span style="font-weight: 400">system</span></a> <a href="http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/11/16/new-yore-mets-top-prospects-the-next-ten-luis-carpio-peter-alonso-marcos-molina-catchers-are-freakin-weird/"><span style="font-weight: 400">top</span></a> <a href="http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/12/07/mets-top-prospects-no-21-to-no-30/"><span style="font-weight: 400">30</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400"> on this one. In no particular order, here are ten Met farmhands we want to see in 2017, and why we want to see them.</span></p>
<p><b>Thomas Szapucki, LHP</b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">As a live-armed prep pick in the mid-single digit rounds, Szapucki’s 2016 wasn’t </span><i><span style="font-weight: 400">totally</span></i><span style="font-weight: 400"> out of nowhere. But the jump from low-90s and a promising curve to mid-90s with sharp action and a wipeout curve is pretty huge, and the numbers Szapucki put up in both Kingsport and Brooklyn were absolutely staggering. A back injury ended his 2016 slightly prematurely, and while we don’t believe it to be a serious injury, back problems and pitching prospects don’t always go well together. If Szapucki continues to progress his stuff, and if he continues to run strikeout rates into the mid-teens per nine, our ranking of him as the 69th-best prospect in baseball will no longer seem nice by this time next year. He’ll probably open in Low-A Columbia as part of the traveling Tim Tebow Circus, but High-A and even Double-A are within reach for later in the season. — Jarrett Seidler</span></p>
<p><b>Andres Gimenez, SS</b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">I got a question in </span><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/chat/chat.php?chatId=1396"><span style="font-weight: 400">a BP chat</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400"> recently asking me to compare Kevin Maitan and Andres Gimenez. Sammy in Connecticut seemed a bit skeptical that there was really </span><i><span style="font-weight: 400">that</span></i><span style="font-weight: 400"> big a gap between them as prospects. I’m fairly confident that Maitan’s surfeit of offensive tools is enough to make him a Top 101 prospect before he ever takes the field for a professional game, stateside or otherwise. I get the premise though. Gimenez was very highly rated in the 2015 July 2 class, and we have reports on him from actual games, granted ones from the Dominican Summer League. It’s all data of course, but the best data can be found behind home plate, which is why I will be trucking to whatever short-season affiliate he ends up at this year to find out if we were in fact a year too late on him. I expect to find a polished shortstop and an advanced hitter for an 18-year-old, like if someone used the </span><a href="http://pixel.nymag.com/imgs/daily/following/2015/12/10/upgrade.w1200.h630.jpg"><span style="font-weight: 400">upgrade meme</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400"> on Luis Carpio. But I suspect Gimenez has the capacity to surprise me as well, which is why I keep gassing up the car for East Tennessee every year. And speaking of Carpio … — Jeffrey Paternostro</span></p>
<p><b>Luis Carpio, SS/2B</b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">We ranked Luis Carpio as the third-best prospect in the Mets system heading into the 2016 season. We ranked him ahead of Dom Smith, Desmond Lindsay, and Robert Gsellman. (I say we, but I was driving that bandwagon, and my byline is on the list.) Then Carpio tore his labrum in the Spring. See, </span><a href="http://mlb.nbcsports.com/2017/02/15/cardinals-pitcher-alex-reyes-to-have-tommy-john-surgery/"><span style="font-weight: 400">it’s not just pitchers!</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400"> It was an aggressive ranking at the time for a kid that spent most of the 2015 season as a 17-year-old, but it’s rare to find that level of defensive polish and advanced hitting ability at any age in the short-season leagues. The injury was to his right shoulder, and his arm was already maybe better suited to the right side of the infield, but I’m antsy to check in on the still-only-19-year-old. He made quite the first impression. — Jeffrey Paternostro</span></p>
<p><b>Tyler Bashlor, RHP</b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">The Mets turned some heads in 2013, when they handed a $550,000 signing bonus to their 11th-round pick, junior college reliever Tyler Bashlor. After signing with the club, he pitched in 13 games for Kingsport that year, but then didn’t throw another professional pitch until 2016, losing two full seasons after undergoing Tommy John surgery. In a 2016 season that was spent primarily pitching out of the bullpen for the Columbia Fireflies, Bashlor showed why the Mets believed in him enough to give him more than half of a million dollars three years prior, posting a 12.16 K/9 and 2.50 ERA at the level. His fastball, which sits in the mid-90s and touched as high as 98 mph in 2016, is a legitimate swing-and-miss pitch that should carry him to Queens. The bigger questions for Bashlor are his secondary pitches and control. His command and control should figure to take strides forward in 2017 as he is another year removed from surgery. His slurve, which currently sits in the low-80s, is a pitch that could be improved upon (attn: Dan Warthen). If Bashlor is able to progress enough with command and the breaking ball, he will find himself on the fast track to pitching out of the Mets bullpen before too long. He figures to open this season in the bullpen for either St. Lucie or Binghamton. If all goes well, he won’t finish the season with the same affiliate that he began the year with. — Skyler Kanfer</span></p>
<p><b>Marcos Molina, RHP</b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">The continuing saga of Zack Wheeler reminds us on a near-daily basis that Tommy John surgery is still anything but routine. Yet Marcos Molina has had, well, the “routine” recovery, popping back up about a year out from surgery. He used the Arizona Fall League as something of a rehab stint, throwing short outings and flashing the premium fastball/slider combination that made him one of the system’s best pitching prospects two years ago. With violent mechanics, a TJS in his background, and durability questions even before that, Molina still might be a reliever in the end, but 2017 represents his shot to get back on the fast track as a prospect. He could open as high as the Double-A Binghamton Rumble Ponies, and a pitcher on the 40 in the high-minors is of course only a phone call away from The Show. — Jarrett Seidler</span></p>
<p><b>Andrew Church, RHP</b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">The 2013 second-round pick spent years in the wilderness bouncing around the lowest levels of the system as an oft-injured project, largely falling off the prospectdom map. In a tale that’s been around as long as there have been pitching prospects, he showed up in 2016 a new man, coming out of extended spring in May to shine for Low-A Columbia, mixing in a fill-in stint in High-A Port St. Lucie and a late-August emergency appearance for hometown Triple-A Las Vegas. Once again touching the mid-90s with his fastball and featuring a promising slider, Church could start back at High-A or get a bump to Double-A, where I think I have a pretty good chance to see him in Binghamton’s late-May/early-June visit to Trenton. A full year of effectiveness should get him in strong consideration for both a spot on both the 40-man roster and high up on next year’s prospect lists. — Jarrett Seidler</span></p>
<p><b>Desmond Lindsay, OF</b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">Beyond the trio of Mets prospects who made the BP 101 list, there is not a prospect in the Mets farm system with more upside than Desmond Lindsay. Lindsay, the organization’s top draft pick in 2015, is a centerfielder with all the raw tools that any scout would fawn over. In 2016, Lindsay’s performance represented his skillset, as he posted a .297/.418/.450 line with the Brooklyn Cyclones, including a .344 True Average*, 14.9 percent walk rate, and 19.4 percent strikeout rate. Unfortunately, since his senior year of high school, Lindsay has had considerable hamstring issues. They kept his sidelined for most of his draft year, which caused him to fall to the Mets in the second round, and they have continued to hamper him since signing with the club. Recurring injuries for a teenager could very well be the sign of, well, more hamstring injuries, or it could be something that a player as young as Lindsay, just 20, could outgrow. In the near-future, Lindsay could very easily be a guy who is being talked about as the next uber Mets prospect—or, in other words, the Amed Rosario of two years from now—or he could be a guy who is being talked about as the new Reese Havens. His performance and health in 2017, where he most likely will open in Columbia, will tell the story. — Skyler Kanfer</span></p>
<p><em>( * &#8211; Editor&#8217;s Note: For those of you curious, those numbers indicate that he hit about as well compared to his league as Joey Votto did compared to MLB.) </em></p>
<p><b>Tomas Nido, C</b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">The ride hasn’t always been smooth for the 2012 eighth-round pick, who prior to 2016 had never posted a minor league OPS higher than .660. However, over those first few years of his minor league career, his defensive game advanced from raw at best to his calling card. Due to his overall strong catching ability and above-average arm, he was able to open the 2016 in St. Lucie at age-22. Last season, his bat finally started catching up to his glove. In a full season in the pitching-friendly Florida State League, Nido posted a .320/.357/.459 line with seven homers and a .294 True Average in 370 PA. He more than halved his strikeout rate, going from a 25.7 percent clip in Savannah to a very respectable 11.4 percent in 2016. </span><span style="font-weight: 400">If he is able to combine his developed defensive skills with his newfound hitting ability, he has a chance to be a starting catcher. Nido, who was praised when he was drafted for having plus raw power, still has plenty of room to turn that power into game power. Doing that, in addition to potentially increasing upon his 5.1 percent walk rate from 2016, could make him a viable long-term answer for the Mets behind the dish. I look forward to watching Nido play in person in Binghamton starting this April. — Skyler Kanfer</span></p>
<p><b>Luis Guillorme, SS</b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">If you are reading this website, you don’t need to be told that Amed Rosario or Justin Dunn or Desmond Lindsay are worth the price of admission. The implication in all these entries is that we want to see something new. There are guys here with 2016 breakout seasons that we didn’t get enough reports on. There are injured pitchers on their way back who have flashed major league stuff in the recent past. You want a sleeper or you want to know if the breakout guy is real. Prospects can change a lot from year-to-year, but I don’t expect I will be updating my priors much on Luis Guillorme. If anything, I worry a bit about his bat against Double-A velocity. But goddamn am I happy to have him within driving distance again. Rosario has the louder defensive tools and is a plus shortstop in his own right, but there is no one I would rather watch at the 6 than Guillorme. His defense has an ineffable quality to it. Immanuel Kant would suggest that’s his glove is far too functional in scope to have true aesthetic beauty, but I part ways with the German on that. Kant more famously wrote that one should “</span><span style="font-weight: 400">live your life as though your every act were to become a universal law.”</span><span style="font-weight: 400"> Guillorme’s actions in the field set the bar too high for every other shortstop I’m afraid, but I am happy to see him synthesize utility and art in the infield as often as possible this year. — Jeffrey Paternostro</span></p>
<p><b>Tim Tebow, QB/OF?</b></p>
<p><strong><span style="font-weight: 400">Tim Tebow isn’t a real baseball prospect. He’s probably not going to make the majors, and if he does it’s likely to be in a cameo that he won’t have earned based on his own merits. But he is an elite athlete—a player so uniquely talented at football that he was a first-round quarterback despite a known and near-complete inability to make pro throws—and his transition to baseball will be nothing if not fascinating. Can he compete even at the lowest levels? He’s currently expected to open at Low-A Columbia, which is an appropriate level for what we suspect is his baseball ability, but a level where he’ll be about a decade older than the real prospects. Both Jeffrey and I are preparing for the circus for when Columbia comes to Lakewood early in the season. (We totally didn’t throw Tebow in down here because we were dividing a list of ten between three people and had one slot left over, no sir.) — Jarrett Seidler</span></strong></p>
<p><em>Photo Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports</em></p>
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