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	<title>Mets &#187; Keith Hernandez</title>
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		<title>On the Comfort of a Good Announce Team</title>
		<link>http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/07/28/on-the-comfort-of-a-good-announce-team/</link>
		<comments>http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/07/28/on-the-comfort-of-a-good-announce-team/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Jul 2016 10:05:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jarrett Seidler]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gary Cohen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Howie Rose]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Josh Lewin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Keith Hernandez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ron Darling]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=1723</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[On a broadcast earlier this year, Ron Darling described the ideal baseball television broadcast as a casual conversation between friends. The SNY crew has a camaraderie and comfort level that exists on few other broadcasts. It’s been built over time — Cohen, Darling, and Hernandez have been broadcasting Mets games together since 2006. Darling and [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="font-weight: 400">On a broadcast earlier this year, Ron Darling described the ideal baseball television broadcast as a casual conversation between friends. The SNY crew has a camaraderie and comfort level that exists on few other broadcasts. It’s been built over time — Cohen, Darling, and Hernandez have been broadcasting Mets games together since 2006. Darling and Hernandez, of course, were teammates for seven seasons with the Mets, and Cohen is a lifelong Mets fan who has been calling Mets games in some capacity since 1989.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">Cohen, in particular, is the glue the holds the Met television broadcast together. Look no further than the contrast between negative reviews of Darling’s work on TBS with less familiar and less talented broadcasters against the positive reviews of Darling’s color work with the Mets. Cohen sets Darling and Hernandez up like a Molina brother framing pitches, but also knows when to take charge. More than that, he has the intuition to know what moments will emotionally resonate with Mets fans, and to give appropriate and memorable calls at the right moment. Think of Gary calling Bartolo Colon’s home run, the last out of Johan Santana’s no-hitter, or Wilmer Flores’ July 2015 walkoff. Darling adds a professional player color commentary experience. Hernandez mixes in some incredible insights with a mixture of </span><a href="http://m.mlb.com/cutfour/2015/07/20/137603596/listen-to-keith-hernandez-from-mets-cardinals-18-inning-game"><span style="font-weight: 400">groans</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400">, sighs, gallows humor, and discussions of life in Sag Harbor.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">On the radio side, the Mets run what very well might be the most traditional broadcast in baseball outside of Vin Scully. Howie Rose, a longtime veteran of the New York sports scene, is a master storyteller and fountain of knowledge about the Mets and sports in general. I will admit to occasionally turning on an Islanders game over the years mostly for Howie, an option that will </span><a href="http://www.newsday.com/sports/media/howie-rose-islanders-tv-play-by-play-man-won-t-return-next-season-1.11814060"><span style="font-weight: 400">no longer be available</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400"> going forward. After a series of lesser second announcers, the Mets were fortunate to hire popular former Rangers announcer Josh Lewin in 2012. Lewin, who acts much younger than 47, brings an air of freshness and statistical acumen to the Mets broadcast team. Just like an old school team, Rose and Lewin trade off play-by-play and color duties during the game, each adding their own flair. As with the television broadcast, the radio broadcasters come across as legitimate friends. When you’re listening to two or three people talk with each other for a dozen or more hours a week, chemistry and congeniality is important. There are certainly announce crews in sports and entertainment, and even in baseball, who come across as hostile to each other and even the viewer.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">I suspect that I’m not exactly breaking new ground here for a Mets fan. The home announcers are generally considered some of the best in baseball, a tradition that goes back to the earliest days of the franchise with Bob Murphy, Lindsey Nelson, and Ralph Kiner. Fangraphs recently ranked every announce team in baseball using fan surveys, and the Mets ranked third best in baseball for both </span><a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/2016-broadcaster-rankings-tv-10-1/"><span style="font-weight: 400">TV</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400"> and </span><a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/2016-broadcaster-rankings-radio-10-1/"><span style="font-weight: 400">radio</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400">. But I think we might take it for granted how good the Met broadcast teams are, and how these people become part of our extended baseball family.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">I probably watch about half the Mets regular season schedule live on television, and often go back and watch the condensed versions of the games I missed. Often, when I can’t watch the game live, I’m listening to it on the radio, or over the MLB At Bat app. I think it’s safe to say that during the season, Gary Cohen, Ron Darling, Keith Hernandez, Howie Rose, and Josh Lewin “talk to me” as much as anyone short of a few coworkers, my closest friends and family, and given the length of some of our podcasts, my </span><a href="http://www.blogtalkradio.com/forallyoukidsoutthere"><i><span style="font-weight: 400">For All You Kids Out There</span></i></a><span style="font-weight: 400"> co-host Jeffrey Paternostro. Given the relative stability of the Met announce teams, these people become very familiar figures. When </span><a href="https://twitter.com/kevinburkhardt/status/512121370680254464/photo/1"><span style="font-weight: 400">one of the good ones gets away</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400">, it sucks to see them go.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">A few years ago, my friend Jen Mac Ramos wrote an article titled “</span><a href="http://www.hardballtimes.com/baseball-helps...-sometimes/"><span style="font-weight: 400">Baseball Helps&#8230;Sometimes</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400">” for the Hardball Times. It resonates with me to this day. In part, it described the regularity of baseball and the baseball season as a regulating tool for dealing with anxiety, and I realized after reading Jen’s article that baseball absolutely is something that I use to regulate and schedule my life. From February until November, baseball is </span><i><span style="font-weight: 400">almost always there</span></i><span style="font-weight: 400">. It’s a comfort in times of trouble, a distraction in times when the real world gets too serious, a calm port in the storm. It’s the background noise to our lives. And I really appreciate that the voices are as good as Gary, Keith, Ron, Howie, and Josh.</span></p>
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		<title>The Second Verse Is Often Like The First</title>
		<link>http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/07/26/the-second-verse-is-often-like-the-first/</link>
		<comments>http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/07/26/the-second-verse-is-often-like-the-first/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Jul 2016 10:00:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Eric Garcia McKinley]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bernard Gilkey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[David Wright]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Keith Hernandez]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=1668</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Warning: small sample size. This well-worn caveat exists at the intersection of statistical analysis and human-interest narrative. At once, it says to the reader, “yes, I know that what I’m about to tell you cannot be representative of a greater truth, but I’m going to tell you anyhow,” and “who cares if it’s a seven [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Warning: small sample size. This well-worn caveat exists at the intersection of statistical analysis and human-interest narrative. At once, it says to the reader, “yes, I know that what I’m about to tell you cannot be representative of a greater truth, but I’m going to tell you anyhow,” and “who cares if it’s a seven game sample these numbers are just so big/small!” Both exclamations are equally relevant for established stars and vanilla role players. As the sample becomes less small, the “warning” wanes, as does the human-interest narrative. When this happens, the established players stand out more and more. From a big picture perspective, players who heroically lift their teams come from the places we expect.</p>
<p>The Mets need some heroes to lift them to the postseason, which, as the days pass, appears like it will have to come by way of the Wild Card rather than a division title. Those heroes, to use a baseball idiom, are unlikely to come out of left field. To get a sense of what a player can do for a team over the course of roughly a half-season of baseball, I sought out the best second halves in Mets’ history. The sample for a second half (usually a bit more than 81 games) is relatively small, but it’s large enough to demonstrate that the Wilmer Floreses of the world might be single game heroes, but over months of play, the stars stand out.</p>
<p>According to Baseball Reference, the Mets players with the highest sOPS+ for the second half of a single season yield a list of great players in the midst of great seasons:</p>
<p><a href="http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/11/2016/07/Hitters-2nd-half.jpg"><img class="aligncenter wp-image-1670 " src="http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/11/2016/07/Hitters-2nd-half.jpg" alt="Hitters 2nd half" width="430" height="419" /></a></p>
<p>There aren’t many surprises here. Perhaps Bernard Gilkey’s run of excellence is just as forgettable now as it was when it was actually happening, but the man posted an eight win season in 1996. Cleon Jones doesn’t stand out, but the “1971” next to his name elaborates why. But Jones’s second half that year was just a slightly better continuation of his first half. He finished up the season with a 144 OPS+. Perhaps Lucas Duda’s second half run in 2011 can be seen as surprising because it was the first time he’d gotten that much playing time, but in hindsight it’s not unexpected. Otherwise, this list is a who’s who of great Mets hitters, from Keith Hernandez to David Wright.</p>
<p>The best second half starting pitching performances, this time measured by sOPS+ against, are slightly more varied with regard to stars and others, but it is still dominated by players we’d expect:</p>
<p><a href="http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/11/2016/07/pitchers-second-half.jpg"><img class="aligncenter  wp-image-1671" src="http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/11/2016/07/pitchers-second-half.jpg" alt="pitchers second half" width="424" height="413" /></a></p>
<p>Of these, Steve Trachsel’s 2001 is the only second half that was not also part of an excellent full season. He posted a 2.74 ERA over 14 second half starts and 98.2 innings. For the season, however, he produced a 4.46 ERA and an ERA+ of 93. Otherwise, there aren’t surprises on this list either.</p>
<p>The second half of the 2016 season is just a week old, so the split OPS+ figures for hitters range from Neil Walker’s -8 to James Loney’s 158. Bartolo Colón’s 150 represents the highest (worst) among the starters, Jacob deGrom’s 69 is the lowest. Right now, the samples are too small to draw any second half conclusions—the heroes, if there will be any, are yet hidden. If they do emerge, however, they’ll be from the places we expect. The Mets need more than great second halves from players like Yoenis Céspedes, Michael Conforto, and Noah Syndergaard, but they can’t get there without them.</p>
<p><em>Photo credit: Brad Penner: USA-TODAY Sports.</em></p>
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