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	<title>Mets &#187; P.J. Conlon</title>
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		<title>Game recap May 26: Glad that’s over with</title>
		<link>http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2018/05/27/game-recap-may-26-glad-thats-over-with/</link>
		<comments>http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2018/05/27/game-recap-may-26-glad-thats-over-with/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 27 May 2018 09:55:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Alex Rosen]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Game Recaps]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adrian Gonzalez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AJ Ramos]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Amed Rosario]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Asdrubal Cabrera]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brandon Nimmo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chris Flexen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Devin Mesoraco]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jason Vargas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jay Bruce]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jerry Blevins]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jose Reyes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Luis Guillorme]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Conforto]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[P.J. Conlon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Alonso]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Robert Gsellman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Seth Lugo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tim Peterson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wilmer Flores]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=7038</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[THE GOOD The Mets had 12 hits and scored six runs, which felt like an explosion considering the team’s recent offensive performance. The six runs were the most they’ve scored in a game since last Tuesday, when the Amazins’ put up a 12 spot against the Blue Jays. Brandon Nimmo and Michael Conforto both hit [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h3>THE GOOD</h3>
<p>The Mets had 12 hits and scored six runs, which felt like an explosion considering the team’s recent offensive performance. The six runs were the most they’ve scored in a game since last Tuesday, when the Amazins’ put up a 12 spot against the Blue Jays. Brandon Nimmo and Michael Conforto both hit solo home runs and Wilmer Flores chipped in with three hits. Conforto finally looks “right” at the plate and I’ll have an in depth look at what he’s doing differently later this week. Devin Mesoraco had two hits to continue his unexpected but welcomed strong start to his Mets career. Jay Bruce looked competitive at the dish and reached three times on the afternoon. Amed Rosario drew a walk in his only plate appearance! Jerry Blevins was called upon for some mop up duty and didn’t allow a run. Also, Jose Reyes reached base twice?</p>
<h3>THE BAD</h3>
<p>Adrian Gonzalez was 1-5 with a team-high seven men left on base. The Mets have better internal options (see Alonso, Peter) and it’s becoming increasingly difficult for the organization to justify Gonzalez’s roster spot. Reyes reached twice and still has a .200 on-base percentage, which should tell you all you need to know. He also grounded into the Mets&#8217; only double play and even made an error out at short while Luis Guillorme sat and wondered what exactly he needs to do to play. Asdrubal Cabrera, the team&#8217;s best player so far this season, was slow to get up after a play at second and was pinch hit for but should be good to go on Sunday. The Mets would be in big trouble should Cabrera require a DL stint of any kind.</p>
<h3>THE (REALLY) UGLY</h3>
<p>After allowing five earned runs in just three innings of work Saturday, Jason Vargas’ ERA is up to an unfathomable 10.62 in his 20.1 innings this season. The Mets have given Vargas five starts now and plan to give him another, but he’s been absolutely dreadful thus far. Seth Lugo and Robert Gsellman both represent much more competitive options, but they’re also two of the Mets best relievers and a move would decimate an already thin relief corps. That’s because AJ Ramos, supposedly one of the Mets&#8217; best high-leverage options, has been awful this season as well. After <a title="Game recap May 25: Shrimp" href="http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2018/05/26/game-recap-may-25-shrimp/">walking in the winning run Friday</a>, Ramos was lit up for three runs on three hits and one walk in only two-thirds of an inning. It was a low-leverage situation and Ramos still wasn’t effective and at this point, your guess is as good as mine as to where Ramos and the Mets go from here. Chris Flexen was also shelled for eight hits and three walks in only two innings of work. Although he was only charged for three earned runs, Flexen was terrible Saturday and now isn’t available for Monday’s doubleheader; he’s likely to be sent down for P.J Conlon or possibly Tim Peterson, as the Mets will need another pitcher for the aforementioned doubleheader with Atlanta. Look for Conlon rather than Peterson, as he’s already on the 40-man and wouldn’t require a corresponding roster move.</p>
<p><em>Photo credit: Benny Sieu &#8211; USA Today Sports</em></p>
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		<title>Prospect Watch: Week Five</title>
		<link>http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2018/05/25/prospect-watch-week-five/</link>
		<comments>http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2018/05/25/prospect-watch-week-five/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 May 2018 10:00:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Alex Rosen]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mets Minors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jhoan Ureña]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Marcos Molina]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[P.J. Conlon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Phillip Evans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ryder Ryan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wuilmer Becerra]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=7016</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Welcome back to the Baseball Prospectus Mets Prospect Watch! This weekly column will take a look at one pitcher and one hitter from each level of the Mets organization and offer thoughts on their performance thus far, as well as a brief scouting report with a future outlook. Las Vegas 51s (Triple-A) Pitcher: P.J Conlon [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Welcome back to the Baseball Prospectus Mets Prospect Watch! This weekly column will take a look at one pitcher and one hitter from each level of the Mets organization and offer thoughts on their performance thus far, as well as a brief scouting report with a future outlook.</em></p>
<h3>Las Vegas 51s (Triple-A)</h3>
<p><strong>Pitcher: P.J Conlon</strong></p>
<p>If you pulled up P.J Conlon’s player page and looked solely at his career minor league stats: 2.85 ERA, 0.67 HR/9, 1.98 BB/9, you wouldn’t be wrong in thinking the Mets have another solid pitching prospect on their hands. What those stats won’t tell you though is that Conlon’s fastball averages just 86 mph; and that folks is why you don’t scout the stat line.</p>
<p>Conlon’s a former 13<span style="font-size: 13.3333px">th</span> round pick that’s surpassed all expectations thus far but honestly, no one’s quite sure how. Standing only 5’11” with a fastball that barely touches 90 mph, it’s honestly perplexing that we’ve even arrived at this point. In need of a spot starter in Cincinnati, the Mets added Conlon to the 40-man roster and he made his major league debut, allowing three runs in 3.2 innings.</p>
<p>Conlon pairs a good changeup with a funky delivery that generates some much-needed deception. The change sits in the mid to high 70s and, while it is his best offering, it just doesn’t generate enough whiffs for Conlon to cut it as a starter in the big leagues. One might think that if Conlon isn’t succeeding via the strikeout, he must be elite at inducing groundballs. That’s not his secret to success either though, as his career groundball rate stands at a middle of the pack 43.08%.</p>
<p>So how exactly has Conlon been able to achieve this level of success? It’s a great question that no one seems able to answer, not even the Mets. Although he’s not going to be a starter in the majors, Conlon has good career splits against lefties and could potentially fill a LOOGY role for some organization.</p>
<p><strong>Hitter: Phillip Evans</strong></p>
<p>I’m honestly not sure if Evans still has prospect eligibility (spoiler alert: he does!) but have you seen the 51s roster recently? It’s rougher than you can even imagine and the reason why Tim Tebow is talked about as a legitimate call-up candidate.</p>
<p>Evans was with the big league club just this Tuesday, but Jose Bautista took his roster spot and poor Phil has to wait for another chance. A former 15th round pick in the 2011 draft, the versatile Evans will turn 26 later this year, his seventh as a pro. He actually made the Opening Day roster but was sent down rather quickly in favor of an almost but not really healed Michael Conforto.</p>
<p>I saw Evans in Vegas last month and while I’m not his biggest fan, I’d much rather see him on the Mets bench than Bautista. Evans won a batting title in 2016 and is showing some improved power this season with nine home runs in 118 at-bats, but he’s yet to get an extended look in the big leagues. It seemed like he was finally going to get his chance when the Mets finally DL’d Yoenis Cespedes but nope, Jose Bautista!</p>
<p>I’m skeptical of Evans’ potential as a major leaguer long-term, but I think he’s deserving of a chance to show why he belongs. A utility man who can play passable infield defense, be an emergency catcher and has some pop is an intriguing player that can provide some value off the bench, especially in the National League. If only the team that employs Jose Reyes could use someone like that…</p>
<h3>Binghamton Rumble Ponies (Double-A)</h3>
<p><strong>Pitcher: Marcos Molina</strong></p>
<p>Where do I even begin on Marcos Molina? After flashing a plus fastball/slider combo in the lower depths of the system, Molina missed all of 2016 due to Tommy John surgery. Which is fine, considering Tommy John isn’t the death sentence for pitchers that it once was and Molina was still young.</p>
<p>The problem is we’re now two years removed from the operation and Molina’s stuff is still nowhere to be found. After a mediocre 2017 with Binghamton, the Mets sent Molina back again to repeat the level, hopefully with better results. It was a reasonable idea in theory, but the results have been disastrous thus far and that’s a big problem considering Molina’s occupying a 40-man spot.</p>
<p>With Anthony Swarzak seemingly close to a return and in need of a reinstatement to the 40-man, there’s a high possibility that it’s Molina whose roster spot is in jeopardy. That’s because Molina’s been downright awful this season with both Binghamton and Las Vegas. In 36.2 innings for the Rumble Ponies, Molina’s got a 6.14 ERA to go along with a putrid 6.38 K/9 and 3.93 BB/9. He was even worse in Vegas, holding a 9.35 ERA and a 5.19 BB/9 in just eight and two-thirds innings. The possibility of converting Molina to the bullpen is becoming increasingly likely with each passing day, especially considering the Mets are running out of time with him. Having never been known for possessing good command, a move to a relief role could suit both parties well, and it’s likely the only scenario in which Molina keeps his roster spot.</p>
<p><strong>Hitter: Jhoan Urena </strong></p>
<p>It’s hard to believe, but this is Urena’s seventh season as a pro and we’re still waiting for the breakout season above Low-A. I’ve seen Urena a bunch this season and have come away from each look wanting to like him a lot more than I really do. Urena has the look of a future big leaguer with some deceptive athleticism to boot, but he’s yet to put it all together and I’m increasingly worried he never will.</p>
<p>For starters, Urena is awful in right field, where he’s started the majority of games this season for the Rumble Ponies. He’s also played third base and while he’s better there, I have him as a 35, which is just an emergency starter. That means Urena is destined for a future in left or at first, positions where he’s really going to have to hit to justify his position, and I’m just not confident that he’s going to be able to do that.</p>
<p>I should mention that Urena’s battled hamate bone injuries in the past, a pesky injury known to sap power from hitters. Urena has just three home runs this season, which isn’t a surprise considering his swing doesn’t have much loft, but game power is an important part of the profile at first base or left field. That being said, the swing is max effort in all counts and Urena strikes out too much for a guy with this little power.</p>
<p>I’m down on Urena’s chances as a future major league contributor, but I’m still holding out some hope that he can add some more power to his game. It’s been seven seasons though and we’ve yet to see it, so it’s hard to be too hopeful here.</p>
<h3>Port St. Lucie Mets (High-A)</h3>
<p><strong>Pitcher: Ryder Ryan</strong></p>
<p>Acquired from Cleveland in last year’s Jay Bruce trade, Ryan is off to a really nice start with Port St. Lucie. In his first 16 appearances this season, Ryan’s got a 1.77 ERA and a 23:5 strikeout-to-walk ratio across 20.1 innings.</p>
<p>I know what you’re thinking: a reliever acquired at the 2017 deadline must be a fastball/slider guy, and well, you’re correct. Ryan sits in the mid-90s with his fastball and complements it with his slider, but not much else. He’s currently running a strikeout rate of 30% to go along with a 6.5% walk rate, which bodes well for a potential future as a high leverage reliever. Ryan is 23 and in A ball but he pitched all of one inning in college, so there aren’t really age concerns here.</p>
<p>What’s really interesting is that Ryan’s numbers were pretty average with the Cleveland organization, but since the trade he’s seemingly found a new gear. The Mets have a proven track record of developing this profile, so Ryan couldn’t have found a better landing spot than New York. If Ryan keeps this up, he’s going to be looking at a promotion to Double-A Binghamton by year&#8217;s end. He’s certainly a name to keep an eye on as the season progresses.</p>
<h3>Columbia Fireflies (A)</h3>
<p><strong>Hitter: Wuilmer Becerra </strong></p>
<p>Becerra came over as an additional piece in the R.A Dickey trade that brought Noah Syndergaard and Travis d’Arnaud to New York back in 2012. He’s flashed potential when healthy but injuries have really slowed his development down, and that’s why we’re talking optimistically about a 23-year-old in A ball.</p>
<p>Becerra’s noteworthy skill is his hit tool, which looks like a 60 at peak. He’s struggled with shoulder injuries, including but not limited to a torn labrum, that have robbed him of his power and ability to throw.</p>
<p>Becerra was held back in extended spring training and has only played five games with the Fireflies, so we don’t have any new information on him yet. If he stays healthy though, this is the sort of player that could break out and turn heads by the end of the year. We’ll need to see a power spike to improve the future outlook, but if he stays healthy, don’t be surprised if Becerra ends the season in Binghamton.</p>
<p><em>Photo credit: David Kohl &#8211; USA Today Sports</em></p>
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		<title>2017 Mets Affiliates Preview: Binghamton&#8230;sigh&#8230;Rumble Ponies</title>
		<link>http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2017/04/12/2017-mets-affiliates-preview-binghamton-sigh-rumble-ponies/</link>
		<comments>http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2017/04/12/2017-mets-affiliates-preview-binghamton-sigh-rumble-ponies/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Apr 2017 10:00:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Skyler Kanfer]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mets Minors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Champ Stuart]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chris Flexen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corey Taylor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[David Thompson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Luis Guillorme]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[P.J. Conlon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tomas Nido]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=3570</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[After a breakout 2016 season with the St. Lucie Mets, catcher Tomas Nido will look to continue his success in 2017 with the Binghamton Rumble Ponies. The ride hasn’t always been smooth for Nido, the Mets 2012 eighth-round pick. Prior to 2016, he had never posted a minor league OPS higher than .660. However, over [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>After a breakout 2016 season with the St. Lucie Mets, catcher <strong>Tomas Nido</strong> will look to continue his success in 2017 with the Binghamton Rumble Ponies. The ride hasn’t always been smooth for Nido, the Mets 2012 eighth-round pick. Prior to 2016, he had never posted a minor league OPS higher than .660. However, over those first few years of his minor league career, his defensive game advanced from raw at best to an asset. His bat caught up in 2016, where he hit .320/.357/.459, good for a .294 TAv. Nido’s balanced skillset now has him on the verge of becoming a serious catching prospect. A repeat of his strong performance in Binghamton could place Nido among the top catching prospects in baseball heading into next season. A member of the same draft class that brought the Mets Kevin Plawecki in 2012, Nido has a chance to find himself leapfrogging Plawecki and others on the road to becoming the Mets’ catcher of the future.</p>
<p>On the surface, a light-hitting infielder with one career home run and average speed doesn’t sound all that entertaining to watch and follow as a prospect. Yet, “entertaining” is pretty much the best way to describe the Rumble Ponies’ shortstop, <strong>Luis Guillorme</strong>. Guillorme—a Spring Training celebrity after catching a flying bat in the dugout—brings one of the best defensive games in all of professional baseball to the table. He has impressively quick hands and excellent reaction times that allow him to dazzle defensively without exceptional speed or athleticism. The biggest question for Guillorme in 2017 and going forward remains his bat, which is the final obstacle standing between the former 10th round pick and Queens. While he will never be confused for a power hitter, Guillorme’s .052 ISO in St. Lucie in 2016 would have ranked as the lowest such figure in the major leagues for any player with greater than 150 plate appearances last year. Improving his gap power while maintaining a respectably high on-base clip will be essential for Guillorme to stay on track for a major league role. And even just a passable bat could give Guillorme a real shot at having a long major league career as a defensive-minded infielder.</p>
<p>Although he is currently on the shelf as he recovers from a recent knee operation, Tommy John survivor <strong>Chris Flexen</strong> is among the best pitching prospects in the Mets system and perhaps the “ace” of the 2017 Rumble Ponies. Flexen, who was added to the Mets 40-man roster this winter, boasts a fastball that has touched as high as 97, and a full four-pitch repertoire that makes him an intriguing starting pitching prospect. While he is risky even by pitching prospect standards, having already undergone Tommy John Surgery and now knee surgery by the age of 22, Flexen’s current profile is not all to far off from former Mets pitching prospects, such as Robert Gsellman and Michael Fulmer, as they entered the upper minors. While Flexen has not yet consistently missed bats at a high clip, posting only a 16.6% K-rate in 134 innings for St. Lucie last season, his stuff suggests that could improve in a hurry (see: Gsellman, Robert). With his option clock now running, 2017 will be an important year for Flexen if he looks to establish himself as an emerging option in the Mets’ suddenly less crowded starting pitching situation. Given his injury history and relatively high effort mechanics, it is quite possible that Flexen’s quickest and most likely path to the major leagues will come as a short reliever. Consistency, health, and breaking ball development—well, he’s in the right org for that one— will be essential for Flexen as he looks to make an impression this season in Western New York.</p>
<h3>Short Hops</h3>
<p>2015 4th round pick and ACC home run champion <strong>David Thompson</strong> figures to be the everyday third baseman for Binghamton in 2017. While Thompson’s defense has been better than advertised to this point in his professional career, he must hit for more power in Binghamton if he is to continue to rise through the ranks&#8230;Northern Irish southpaw <strong>P.J. Conlon</strong> will look to continue his improbable rise to the major leagues with a stop in Binghamton to open the 2017 season. Conlon, a soft-tossing lefty with a good change, posted an incredible 1.79 ERA split between Columbia and St. Lucie in his first full professional season. Double-A is always a test for this profile&#8230;yet another fast rising member of the Mets’ 2015 draft class, <strong>Corey Taylor</strong>, joins the Binghamton Rumble Ponies. Like Conlon, Taylor has had little issue yet with professional hitters, posting a 1.87 ERA out of the bullpen for the St. Lucie Mets. Taylor’s stuff showed well in the Arizona Fall League, flashing a fastball that could bump the upper-90s and a plus slider. In an admittedly small sample size—though a very tough pitching environment— he missed bats at a higher clip (17 strikeouts in 14 innings) than he had previously in the minor leagues. If Taylor is able to keep up his stellar results and maintain his fall bump in stuff and strikeouts, he might not be long for Binghamton and could have a real shot to pitch out of the Mets’ bullpen sometime this season&#8230;center fielder <strong>Champ Stuart</strong> might be the fastest player in the Mets system and he’s a plus center fielder to boot, but he’s never shown the ability to hit offspeed and might never be more than a late-inning pinch-runner and defensive caddy. He’s ready for that role right now though and the 2017 Mets sure could use that.</p>
<p><em>Photo Credit: Steve Mitchell- USA Today Sports</em></p>
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		<item>
		<title>The 2017 Non-Roster Invitee Rundown!</title>
		<link>http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2017/01/25/the-2017-non-roster-invitee-rundown/</link>
		<comments>http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2017/01/25/the-2017-non-roster-invitee-rundown/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jan 2017 13:45:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Sara Novic]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adam Wilk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ben Rowen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Champ Stuart]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chasen Bradford]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corey Taylor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[David Roseboom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dominic Smith]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kevin McGowan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Logan Taylor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Luis Guillorme]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[P.J. Conlon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Paul Sewald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Phil Evans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Travis Taijeron]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Xorge Carillo]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=3047</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Through all that is cold and grey and dim, it’s nice to remember that spring training is just around the corner and the Mets have already decided on their non-roster invitees. Apparently satiated with all those Tebow jersey sales, they decided to cool it on the money-grabs, instead inviting 15 young players who show, you know, [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Through all that is cold and grey and dim, it’s nice to remember that spring training is just around the corner and the Mets have already decided on their non-roster invitees. Apparently satiated with all those Tebow jersey sales, they decided to cool it on the money-grabs, instead inviting 15 young players who show, you know, actual promise. Here’s the rundown of some of the fresh faces invited to Port St. Lucie.</p>
<p><em><strong>Chasen Bradford:</strong></em> Bradford, like the majority of invitees, is a pitcher whose presence suggests the Mets are looking to bulk up the bullpen. Originally drafted in 2011, Bradford has been with the 51s since 2015. Though his ERA spiked to <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?player_id=607473#/career/R/pitching/2016/ALL">4.80 in 2016</a>, his career overall of 3.42 is stronger, and he’s shown time and again that he can handle the pressure, earning five of six saves in 2016, and 36 of a possible 48 across his career thus far.</p>
<p><em><strong>Xorge Carrillo:</strong></em> The only non-roster catcher to attend spring training, Carrillo was also a 2011 Mets’ draft pick. He began in Brooklyn, and spent 2016 in Binghamton and Las Vegas, where he batted <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=518530#/career/R/hitting/2016/ALL">.333 and .269</a>, respectively, slashing .257/.328/.354 over his career.</p>
<p><em><strong>P.J. Conlon:</strong></em> A 23-year-old Northern Ireland-native, Conlon is an intriguing prospect beyond his heritage. The lefty was the Mets’ 13th-round draft pick in 2015, and has already played with the Cyclones, St. Lucie Mets, and Columbia Fireflies. At 5’11,” Conlon is the shortest of the pitching invitees, but so far his performance suggests he’ll be a force to be reckoned with: he’s gone 12-3 with one save and an <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=664869#/career/R/pitching/2016/ALL">ERA of 1.47 across 41 games</a>.</p>
<p><em><strong>Phillip Evans:</strong></em> A 24-year-old infielder, Evans was drafted out of high school in 2011, and had his best season yet in 2016 split between Binghamton and St. Lucie, slashing <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=595943#/career/R/hitting/2016/ALL">.321/.366/.460</a> with eight of his 19 career home runs. Over his five-year career, Evans has hit .255/.318/.344.</p>
<p><em><strong>Luis Guillorme*:</strong></em> A 10th-round draft pick in 2013, the infielder started in the Gulf Coast League and spent 2016 with the St. Lucie Mets, where he hit his first professional home run. Guillorme hit .<a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=641645#/career/R/hitting/2016/ALL">285/.355/.326</a> across his career, with 34 stolen bases.</p>
<p><em>( * &#8211; Editor&#8217;s Note: Please email Jeff Paternostro with any and all questions about Guillorme.)</em></p>
<p><em><strong>Kevin McGowan:</strong></em> The tallest invitee on the list, 25-year-old McGowan fits neatly between other leggy pitchers Syndergaard (6’6&#8243;) and deGrom (6’4&#8243;) at 6’5”.  A 13th-round draft pick in 2013, the righty spent 2016 moving between Las Vegas, Binghamton and St. Lucie, going <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=641850#/career/R/pitching/2016/ALL">5-1 with two saves and an ERA of 2.35</a>, the best of his career so far.</p>
<p><em><strong>David Roseboom:</strong></em> This lefty was a 2014 draft pick and spent 2016 in Binghamton, where he managed 14 saves (in 15 opportunities) with an ERA of <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=595389#/career/R/pitching/2016/ALL">1.87 across 52 games</a>. Over his career, he’s gone 5-3 with 26 saves and an ERA of 2.26.</p>
<p><em><strong>Ben Rowen:</strong></em> Originally a 2010 Texas draft pick, the 28-year-old made his major-league debut in 2014, in an eight-game run with the Rangers. He was called up for four games by the Milwaukee Brewers in 2016. Though both his stints in the majors have been middling (and short), his minor-league stats are impressive: <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=594985#/career/R/pitching/2016/ALL">25-10 with 43 saves and an ERA of 1.85</a>. Here’s hoping a spring training invite allows Rowen time to shake loose the nerves and show the majors some of his good stuff.</p>
<p><em><strong>Paul Sewald:</strong></em> This righty pitcher was a 10th-round draft pick for the Mets in 2010, and spent 2016 in Las Vegas, where he went <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=623149#/career/R/pitching/2016/ALL">5-3 with 19 saves and an ERA of 3.29</a>. Over his time with Mets affiliates, he’s gone 16-8 with 66 saves and an ERA of 2.20.</p>
<p><em><strong>Dominic Smith:</strong></em> Smith is the youngest of this year’s invitees—he’ll be 21 upon his arrival in Port St. Lucie. The infielder was drafted from his California high school by the Mets in 2013, their first round pick, and just finished off a great season in Binghamton, where he hit <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=642117#/career/R/hitting/2016/ALL">.302/.367/.457</a> with 14 home runs. I’ll be excited to see how this slugger holds up when he faces off against some major-league arms.</p>
<p><em><strong>Champ Stuart:</strong> </em>With a name like “Champ,” he’s gotta be good! Also an early draft pick from 2013 (the Mets’ sixth-round choice), this outfielder—given name “Jervis”—split time between Binghamton and the St. Lucie Mets in 2016. He hit .<a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=642117#/career/R/hitting/2016/ALL">240/.314/.349</a> with eight home runs across the two teams, and he&#8217;s lightning fast; he’s managed 40 stolen bases in 114 games.</p>
<p><em><strong>Corey Taylor:</strong></em> This 24-year-old righty pitcher was a seventh-round draft pick in 2015, and has done well in his time with the Cyclones and St. Lucie Mets. Over his two-year, 63-game career, he’s gone <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=664219#/career/R/pitching/2016/ALL">5-6 with an ERA of 1.77 and 20 saves.</a></p>
<p><em><strong>Logan Taylor:</strong></em> No relation to the aforementioned Taylor above, this 25-year-old, also a right-handed pitcher, was drafted by the Mets in 2012. He went 4-2 in Binghamton in 2016 and has a career <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=593151#/career/R/pitching/2016/ALL">ERA of 3.26</a> across 99 games.</p>
<p><em><strong>Travis Taijeron:</strong> </em>A 2011 draft pick for the Mets, this left fielder has spent the past two years in Las Vegas, where he hit 25 home runs in 2015, and 19 in 2016, batting slightly above his career average of <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=607369#/career/R/hitting/2016/ALL">.269/.370/.512.</a> This slugger’s got power, and 110 career MiLB home runs to prove it; fingers crossed his swing is just as deadly in the big leagues.</p>
<p><em><strong>Adam Wilk:</strong></em> At 29, Wilk is the oldest invitee on the list. (And yet still slightly younger than I am. Sigh.). Perhaps unsurprisingly, then, he’s already got his feet wet in the majors—he had runs in 2011 and 2012 with the Tigers, and two innings with the Angels in 2015. 2016 was not his best year—he went 2-8 with the Triple-A Durham Bulls, but I’ll indulge the Mets pitching staff here in the hope he can combine the mojo from his earlier days with his major-league experience and put his best arm forward for 2017. Wilk has a career <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=573244#/career/R/pitching/2016/ALL">ERA 3.59 across 153 games</a>.</p>
<p><em>Photo Credit: Reinhold Matay-USA Today Sports</em></p>
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		<title>Mets Top Prospects: No. 21 to No. 30</title>
		<link>http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/12/07/mets-top-prospects-no-21-to-no-30/</link>
		<comments>http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/12/07/mets-top-prospects-no-21-to-no-30/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2016 11:00:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jarrett Seidler]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mets Minors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andrew Church]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Anthony Kay]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cameron Planck]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chris Flexen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gregory Guerrero]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jake Simon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jeff McNeil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kevin McGowan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nabil Crismatt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[P.J. Conlon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Paul Sewald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Phil Evans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ty Kelly]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=2888</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Welcome back to the conclusion of our BP Mets top 30 list. This list was put together by Baseball Prospectus Senior Prospect Writer Jeffrey Paternostro, BP Mets Prospect Contributor Skyler Kanfer, and myself over the course of the past few weeks. Full reports for prospects 1-10 are available on the main Baseball Prospectus site, we [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="font-weight: 400">Welcome back to the conclusion of our BP Mets top 30 list. This list was put together by Baseball Prospectus Senior Prospect Writer Jeffrey Paternostro, BP Mets Prospect Contributor Skyler Kanfer, and myself over the course of the past few weeks. </span><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=30699"><span style="font-weight: 400">Full reports for prospects 1-10 are available on the main Baseball Prospectus site</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400">, </span><a href="http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/11/16/new-yore-mets-top-prospects-the-next-ten-luis-carpio-peter-alonso-marcos-molina-catchers-are-freakin-weird/"><span style="font-weight: 400">we did a roundtable discussing prospects 11-20 several weeks ago</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400">, and </span><a href="http://mets.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/11/28/for-all-you-kids-out-there-episode-30-where-you-lead-i-will-follow/"><span style="font-weight: 400">Jeffrey, Skyler, and I did a segment on For All You Kids Out There last week</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400"> discussing the whole list. So without further adieu, the (not quite) best prospects in the Mets system &#8230;</span></p>
<ol start="21">
<li><b> Chris Flexen, RHP, Age 21 (St. Lucie)</b></li>
</ol>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">The least-heralded prospect the Mets added to the 40-man this offseason. Flexen is honestly about as close to a generic assembly-line good-but-not-great right-handed pitching prospect as there is, right down to the Tommy John surgery in his recent past. 2016 was his first full season back, and he was middling in High-A, but his velocity did largely come back. The Mets have done extremely, extremely well maximizing this profile into major-league success, and Flexen will start 2017 in Double-A and on the 40-man, so this could all come together quicker than you’d think. Whether or not that future is in the rotation or bullpen remains to be seen.</span></p>
<ol start="22">
<li><b> Andrew Church, RHP, Age 21 (Columbia/St. Lucie/Las Vegas)</b></li>
</ol>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">2013’s second-round pick emerged from years of erratic and unspectacular performance in the depths of short-season ball to put up an impressive half-season split between A-ball levels. There isn’t a lot differentiating him and Flexen, honestly—touching 95, good breaking ball (curve for Flexen, slider for Church), change that needs some work, a lot of time missed with arm injuries, unclear whether either will fit in the rotation or the bullpen. Flexen being a spot higher is more that we’ve seen him pitch more and better through the years, despite the TJS in his background, but consider these guys fairly interchangeable.</span></p>
<ol start="23">
<li><b> Phil Evans, IF, Age 23 (St. Lucie/Binghamton)</b></li>
</ol>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">Evans opened 2016 as a High-A extra infielder and ended it as a Double-A batting champion. He was originally notable as one of the first markers that the new regime would be way more aggressive in the draft, signing as 2011’s 15th-rounder for a $650,000 bonus. Of course, draft bonus pool caps came just the year after, and nobody could be particularly aggressive after that. Evans bounced around the system until this year, emerging as a hit-tool first second base option in much the same way T.J. Rivera did at Triple-A and in the majors.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">The Mets exposed Evans to Thursday’s Rule 5 draft, and he’s been widely talked about as one of the more likely players to get popped. It’d be more of a loss if the system didn’t already have Wilmer Flores, Gavin Cecchini, and Rivera as young RHH utility options that can’t really play short.</span></p>
<ol start="24">
<li><b> Anthony Kay, LHP, Age 21 (DNP)</b></li>
</ol>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">As ESPN’s Keith Law </span><a href="https://twitter.com/keithlaw/status/708446093051179008"><span style="font-weight: 400">noted</span></a> <a href="https://twitter.com/keithlaw/status/753316198780178432"><span style="font-weight: 400">at the time</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400">, Kay’s usage at UConn this past spring was suspect at best. Surprise surprise, Kay’s physical with the Mets showed significant elbow damage, costing him many hundreds of thousands of dollars of bonus money. MLB, through the bonus pools, made it up to the Mets by allowing them to sign Cameron Planck. Nobody will make it up to Anthony Kay–not UConn or the NCAA or the AAC.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">This ranking is pretty much a shot in the dark; Kay would’ve made the top ten if healthy, but won’t throw a meaningful professional pitch until his age-23 season in 2018. As with Marcos Molina, we’ll probably have a much better idea how the recovery is going in a year, even if he probably won’t make it back before the end of the MILB season.</span></p>
<ol start="25">
<li><b> Cameron Planck, RHP, Age 18 (DNP) </b></li>
</ol>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">Do you like playing the lottery? Well, here’s a pair of prospects for you. The Mets went through quite a saga to acquire Planck, originally offering to cut a pre-draft deal with him for somewhere in the mid-high six figures, to be drafted in the third or fourth round. Planck turned them down. The Mets took him in the 11th as a backup plan, and ended up having a bunch of leftover pool money when Kay took a far lower bonus than expected. Planck signed for $1,000,001.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">He’s yet to pitch as a professional. He throws in the mid-90s. We’re ranking him around where we’d rank a generic third-round prep arm because, well, for the purposes of rankings, he’s sort of a generic third-round prep arm. And as you see with Church upstream, it’s not always clear for a number of years which way these things are going to go.</span></p>
<ol start="26">
<li><b> Gregory Guerrero, SS, Age 17 (DSL)</b></li>
</ol>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">Gregory Guerrero is most notable as Vladimir’s nephew, trained by Uncle Vlad at the Guerrero Academy. He signed for $1.5 million as one of the reported best players in the 2015 international class. And that’s where it about ends for now—Guerrero was adequate in enough in the Dominican Summer League, but doesn’t get the kinds of great whisperings Andres Gimenez has, at least not yet. He’s likely to be way up this list after a summer in North America, or off it entirely.</span></p>
<ol start="27">
<li><b> Nabil Crismatt, RHP, Age 21 (Brooklyn/Columbia/Binghamton)</b></li>
</ol>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">Crismatt put up one of the more spectacular ratios in the system in 2016, striking out 74 and walking only 7 while rising from extended spring all the way to a spot start in Double-A. He’s already being used in a swingman type role and is very likely headed to a future in the bullpen. As a fastball/change guy with a fringe breaking ball, it’s easy to think Akeel Morris. He’s a few years away from any sort of major-league role, and was subsequently left off the 40, where he should be among the lower risks among the significant prospects to be taken in the Rule 5 draft.</span></p>
<ol start="28">
<li><b> Kevin McGowan, RHP, Age 24 (St. Lucie/Binghamton)</b></li>
</ol>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">Of the prospects the Mets exposed to the Rule 5 draft, McGowan is probably most ready to contribute to a major-league team. Jeffrey and I talk quite frequently about “95-and-a-slider” guys in the context of generic perfectly acceptable relievers, and after converting to relief in 2016, McGowan is basically already there. He could be this year’s Erik Goeddel in contributing decent innings to the major-league club from off the radar, or he could be this year’s Matt Bowman in contributing decent innings to someone else’s major-league club.</span></p>
<ol start="29">
<li><b> Jake Simon, LHP, Age 19 (Kingsport)</b></li>
</ol>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">The Mets gave Jake Simon $400,000 in the 11th round in 2015 because he was a projectable lefty, and early signs are promising. His velocity ticked up in 2016 while pitching adequately in the Appy League, a perfectly respectable assignment for his age and advancement. These profiles can come together quickly—we’ll note that this is about the same point where we’d have had Simon’s teammate Thomas Szapucki last year, and with broadly the same profile. Simon will be headed for a higher-profile assignment in either Brooklyn or Columbia in 2017.</span></p>
<ol start="30">
<li><b> Ty Kelly, IF/OF, Age 27 (Las Vegas/New York)</b></li>
</ol>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400">Ty Kelly deserves to be higher than this, as he’s not more than a shout off of T.J. Rivera, but this is what happens when your authors end up counting service days by hand and realize he is eligible at the last second. He’s a present major-league role 4, a perfectly good utility guy, and honestly most of the players behind him are future 4s, so here he is. I guess this serves as a reminder that more guys are still “prospects” than you’d think.</span></p>
<p><b>THREE MORE WITH A SHOT:</b></p>
<ul>
<li><b><b>P.J. Conlon, LHP, Age 22 (Columbia/St. Lucie)</b><span style="font-weight: 400">: A small, soft-tossing lefty from Northern Ireland who has dominated the low-minors to the tune of a 1.47 career ERA. This profile often implodes in Double-A, but he could carve out a MLB future in some role.</span></b></li>
<li><b>Paul Sewald, RHP, Age 26 (Las Vegas)</b><span style="font-weight: 400">: The best pitcher for the 2016 Las Vegas 51s, and overqualified for a MLB long relief type role with a chance for more. Could be selected in Rule 5.</span></li>
<li><strong><b>Jeff McNeil, IF, Age 24 (Binghamton)</b><span style="font-weight: 400">: The former golfer missed nearly all of 2016 with lower-body injuries. If his athleticism and hit tool remain intact, he has a chance at a long career as a utility player or even fringe starter. Also exposed to Rule 5.</span></strong></li>
</ul>
<p><em>Photo Credit: Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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